UNEP Risoe CDM/JI Pipeline Analysis and Database

Last updated:
1st July 2009

Content of CDM/JI Pipeline

Contact

If you have comments or questions please contact:

Joergen Fenhann

+45 46 77 51 05
j.fenhann@risoe.dk

Ulrich Elmer Hansen

ulrich.hansen@risoe.dk

Kasper Agger

kasper.agger@risoe.dk

Download

CDM Pipeline spreadsheet

CDM project distribution within host countries by region and type

JI Pipeline
spreadsheet

Guidance document

Publications and papers
CD4CDM Project

CDM/JI Pipeline Overview Page

This page show some of the most important tables/graphs in the Pipeline, they cover the subjects of all the pages and are not repeated on the other pages.

Status of CDM projects

CERs

Number of CDM projects

CERs until 2012

CDM project registration

Annual ERUs from JI projects

Registered projects over time

Review history

Status of CDM projects

In total 4467 CDM projects are now included in the Pipeline excluding the 480 projects rejected by DOEs, the 112 rejected by EB and the 30 withdrawn. 1699 of the projects are now registered and a further 193 are in the registration process. 525 CDM projects have got CERs issued.

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CERs

The projections is for Issued CERs until the end of 2012 for issuance in the period 2013-2020.

The 2762 Million expected 2012 CERs from existing projects has been multiplied with the 97,6% issuance success, and the future projects under validation with the 14.6% chance of a negative DOE validation (based on the data for 2003-06, see table 9a in the "Analysis" sheet) and the 5.7% chance of being rejected by the EB.

The CERs expected for coming CDM projects have been estimated using the average expected CERs per month from the 3 last full month (see point 3), which were 13.4 Million CERs/month. Assuming that the number of new project will stay constant at this level, we can add the contribution from each month until the end of the time lags shown in table 3 on the "Analysis" sheet. This adds 20 expected Million 2012 CERs. Reducing these two parts (not the issued CERs) according to time lags with the above mentioned chance of being registered and the issuance success we get the result: 1321 Million CERs could be issued before the end of 2012 (or 264 MCERs in each of the 5 years).

The fourth column shows how many MCERs, not issued in the period 2008-2012, is left over for the period 2013-2020 assuming the issuance in 2008-12 shown in the third column. However, a fifth group of CERs is added. This is for the CERs issued from existing projects after 2012 and until the end of their crediting period, or until the end of 2020 (here we have not added future projects entering the pipeline until 2012). The total issuance in the period 2013-2020 is expected to be 5433 MCERs or 679 MCERs/year in each of the nine years.

The calculation of the projected issuance included the timelag until request registration, until registration, until first issuance, and finally the timedelay between last issuance and the present.

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Number of CDM projects starting the public comments period each month, the number of them that have requested registration, the number of them that have CERs issued, and the number of them that was rejected by DOEs.

In July 2009 96 new CDM projects were added to the pipeline.

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CERs expected until 2012 from CDM projects in each sector

While 60% of the CDM projects are renewables, they take 36% of the CERs. Energy efficiency takes 10% of the CERs for Supply-side EE and only 1% for Demand-side-EE (see sub-page on types).

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Number of CDM projects starting the public comments period each quarter, the number of them that have requested registration, and the fraction in % as a curve.

This graph shows that the new projects, which entered the pipeline in the first 3 quarters of 2005, had the highest percentage, which have requested registration: 92%.

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ERUs expected until 2012 from JI projects ( % in each category)

While 29% of the 209 JI projects are renewables, they only take 8% of the ERUs. CH4 reduction takes the majority (47%) of the ERUs.

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Projects submitted for validation and projects registered projects over time

Looking at the chart 10 in the “Analysis” sheet shown above it can be seen that since March 2007 the number of projects requesting registration has dropped down to 20-30 each month. It is strange that the increase in the number of new CDM projects to about 120 each month since March 2007, has not given rise to an increase in the number of projects being registered each month. (The points on the number of project registered in each issue of the CDM Pipeline).

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Review history

Click to view full size

The graph above shows the total number of project requesting registration each month (we use the date of signature in the request registration letter from the DOE). The yellow part of the bar shows the number of these projects, that are registered automatically, and the line shows how this fraction has gone down in 2007. The upper part of the bars shows how many of the registered projects entered in the review process. Each of these projects has been given the highest of the following review levels: a request for review, a request for correction after a request for review (correction 1), a review, a request for registration after a review (correction 2), was rejected, or was withdrawn. To include all the projects requesting review, the two upper parts of the bars show the number of projects with no final decision from the EB after the request for review, and the number of projects with no request for review. The graph show a very low number (around 20) projects requesting registration in the period Sept. to Dec. 2007. However, an extraordinary high number of 211 projects requested registration in in August 2008 due to fact that revision 6 of ACM0002 expired in that month. There is a timelag between the date of signature of the request registration letter and the UNFCCC date of request registration.

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